{"id":1413,"date":"2026-03-28T16:45:19","date_gmt":"2026-03-28T08:45:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.yqcsfz.com\/?p=1413"},"modified":"2026-03-28T16:45:19","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T08:45:19","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e9%87%8d%e5%90%af%e5%90%8e%e7%9a%84%e6%8a%9b%e5%94%ae%ef%bc%9a%e6%98%af-4-%e5%b9%b4%e7%86%8a%e5%b8%82%e7%9a%84%e5%bc%80%e7%ab%af%ef%bc%8c%e8%bf%98%e6%98%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.manwah.net\/?p=1413","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u542f\u540e\u7684\u629b\u552e\uff1a\u662f 4 \u5e74\u718a\u5e02\u7684\u5f00\u7aef\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u725b\u5e02\u300c\u4e2d\u573a\u8c03\u6574\u300d\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"thumbnail-container animate-lazy\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"750\" height=\"375\" class=\"attachment-jnews-750x375 size-jnews-750x375 lazyload wp-post-image\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u542f\u540e\u7684\u629b\u552e\uff1a\u662f 4 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\u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u5fc3\u7406\u5173\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u573a\u4f3c\u4e4e\u9677\u5165\u4e86\u50f5\u5c40\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u987a\u98ce\uff08\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7684\u5bbd\u677e\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u5730\u5f3a\u52b2\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u4ef7\u683c\u884c\u4e3a\uff08Price Action\uff09\u5374\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u75b2\u6001\u548c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u73b0\u5728\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff1a<strong>\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u725b\u5e02\u4e2d\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u56de\u8c03\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f 4 \u5e74\u718a\u5e02\u7684\u5f00\u7aef\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u8981\u56de\u7b54\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u62c6\u89e3\u5f53\u524d\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\u76f8\u4e92\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u6838\u5fc3\u53d9\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/uploads.panewslab.com\/2025z\/0650f018-d1b1-464f-a4a5-7a5e9b4744ed\"  width=\"1528\" height=\"1019\" title=\"\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u542f\u540e\u7684\u629b\u552e\uff1a\u662f 4 \u5e74\u718a\u5e02\u7684\u5f00\u7aef\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u725b\u5e02\u300c\u4e2d\u573a\u8c03\u6574\u300d\uff1f\u63d2\u56fe1\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u542f\u540e\u7684\u629b\u552e\uff1a\u662f 4 \u5e74\u718a\u5e02\u7684\u5f00\u7aef\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u725b\u5e02\u300c\u4e2d\u573a\u8c03\u6574\u300d\uff1f\u63d2\u56fe1\" \/><\/p>\n<h3><strong>\u4e00\u3001\u523b\u821f\u6c42\u5251\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48 2019 \u5e74\u7684\u5267\u672c\u5931\u6548\u4e86\uff1f<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u8bb8\u591a\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u90fd\u5c06 2019 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u95e8\u540e\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u8868\u73b0\u4f5c\u4e3a\u53c2\u8003\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u5728\u653f\u5e9c\u91cd\u5f00\u540e\u7684\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\u91cc\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ece\u7ea6 3,500 \u7f8e\u5143\u98d9\u5347\u81f3 13,000 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6da8\u5e45\u60ca\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u663e\u7136\u6ca1\u6709\u590d\u5236\u8fd9\u9879\u5267\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>BlockWeeks \u7684\u89e3\u8bfb\u662f\uff1a\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u719f\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e 2019 \u5e74\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c2025 \u5e74\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u957f\u8fbe\u4e00\u4e2a\u591a\u6708\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf<strong>\u5b8c\u5168\u6d88\u5316\u4e86\uff08Priced In\uff09<\/strong>\u300c\u653f\u5e9c\u6700\u7ec8\u4f1a\u91cd\u5f00\u300d\u8fd9\u4e00\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u5f53\u9774\u5b50\u6700\u7ec8\u843d\u5730\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u9a71\u52a8\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u300c\u963f\u5c14\u6cd5\u300d\uff08Alpha\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u88ab\u786e\u8ba4\u7684\u300c\u8d1d\u5854\u300d\uff08Beta\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>11 \u6708 13 \u65e5\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u5df2\u4ece\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u89e3\u7684\u5229\u597d\uff0c\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u4e86\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u9886\u57df\uff08\u5982 AI \u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u7834\u88c2\u6216\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u9ad8\u4f30\u503c\uff09\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<strong>\u8fd9\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u8baf\u53f7\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u66f4\u591a\u662f\u5173\u4e8e\u77ed\u671f\u60c5\u7eea\u548c\u83b7\u5229\u4e86\u7ed3\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u5d29\u6e83\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3><strong>\u4e8c\u3001 \u5b8f\u89c2\u4e4b\u951a\uff1a\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u4e3b\u5bfc\u8005\u662f\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u767d\u5bab<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u8bf4\u653f\u5e9c\u5f00\u95e8\u53ea\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u300c\u566a\u97f3\u300d\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u5c31\u662f\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u300c\u4fe1\u53f7\u300d\u3002\u800c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8baf\u53f7\uff0c\u5f02\u5e38\u54cd\u4eae\u4e14\u6e05\u6670\u3002<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\n<p><strong>\u5229\u7387\u8f6c\u5411\uff1a<\/strong>\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u5728 10 \u6708 29 \u65e5\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5e74\u5185\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u5c06\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u76ee\u6807\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f3 3.75%-4.00% \u3002\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u8ba1 12 \u6708\u5c06\u8fdb\u884c\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u3002\uff08\u5c3d\u7ba1\u73b0\u5728\u8fd8\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\uff09<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>\u505c\u6b62 QT\uff08\u91cf\u5316\u7d27\u7f29\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6b63\u5f0f\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u5176\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u7684\u7f29\u51cf\u3002<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>QE \u7684\u5e7d\u7075\uff08\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u738b\u724c\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u878d\u8d44\u5e02\u573a\uff08\u7279\u522b\u662f\u56de\u8d2d\u5e02\u573a\uff09\u5728\u653f\u5e9c\u5173\u95e8\u671f\u95f4\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u5728\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba8\u8bba\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8**\u91cd\u542f\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d2d\u4e70\uff08QE\uff09**\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u4e3a\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u63d0\u4f9b\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>\u5206\u6790\uff1a<\/strong>\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u660e\u786e\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u5bbd\u677e\u5468\u671f\u3002\u964d\u606f\u548c\u505c\u6b62 QT \u5df2\u7ecf\u4e3a\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u575a\u5b9e\u7684\u5e95\u90e8\u652f\u6491\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u88ab\u8feb\u91cd\u542f QE\uff08\u5373\u300c\u5370\u949e\u300d\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u4e0d\u662f\u300c\u662f\u5426\u770b\u6da8\u300d\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u300c\u770b\u6da8\u591a\u5c11\u300d\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u6052\u5b9a\u7684\u6570\u4f4d\u7a00\u7f3a\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u5176\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\uff08\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\uff09\u7684 M2\uff08\u5e7f\u4e49\u8d27\u5e01\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\uff09\u548c\u592e\u884c\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u89c4\u6a21\u9ad8\u5ea6\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u662f\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u7684\u5229\u597d\uff0c\u5176\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u8fdc\u8d85\u8fc7\u4efb\u4f55\u77ed\u671f\u653f\u6cbb\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3>\u4e09\u3001 \u5468\u671f\u4e0e\u4f30\u503c\uff1a\u6211\u4eec\u8eab\u5728\u4f55\u5904\uff1f<\/h3>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e 2024 \u5e74\u51cf\u534a\u540e\u7684\u591a\u5934\u5468\u671f\u4e2d\u3002\u4ece\u4efb\u4f55\u957f\u5468\u671f\u6307\u6807\u6765\u770b\uff08\u4f8b\u5982 MVRV-Z Score \u6216 Pi Cycle Top\uff09\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u867d\u7136\u4ecd\u6709\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u672a\u663e\u793a\u51fa 2017 \u5e74\u3001 2021 \u5e74\u90a3\u6837\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u6ce1\u6cab\u9876\u90e8\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n<p>11 \u6708 13 \u65e5\u7684\u56de\u8c03\uff0c\u4ece\u94fe\u4e0a\u8d44\u6599\uff08On-Chain Data\uff09\u521d\u6b65\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u4e00\u6b21<strong>\u9ad8\u6760\u6746\u7387\u7684\u6e05\u9664<\/strong>\u3002\u8fc7\u9ad8\u7684\u671f\u8d27\u8d44\u91d1\u8d39\u7387\uff08Funding Rates\uff09\u5728\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e2d\u8fc5\u901f\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\uff0c\u8fd9\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u66f4\u5065\u5eb7\u5730\u4e0a\u884c\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5e76\u672a\u770b\u5230\u957f\u671f\u6301\u6709\u8005\uff08LTH\uff09\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6050\u614c\u6027\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u725b\u5e02\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u57fa\u7840\u4ecd\u7136\u7a33\u56fa\u3002<\/p>\n<h3><strong>\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1a\u662f\u718a\u5e02\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u725b\u5e02\u300c\u4e2d\u573a\u8c03\u6574\u300d\uff1f<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u7efc\u5408\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5206\u6790\uff0cBlockWeeks 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